5 Tips for Dominating Daily Fantasy Golf


It’s time to get ready for daily fantasy golf season! While it can be a fun and potentially profitable hobby, I know firsthand how challenging it can be when you’re just starting out. When I first started playing DFG, I struggled to find success despite being successful in other daily fantasy sports. However, as I delved deeper into research and fine-tuned my strategies, I learned that DFG requires a unique approach. It’s important to remember that there will always be some level of variance when it comes to any daily fantasy sport, but by consistently implementing sound strategies, you can increase your chances of success and profitability in the long run. In this post, I’ll be sharing 5 tips that have helped me improve my DFG strategy, and hopefully, they’ll help you too.

1. Pick Golfers who will make the cut

Picking golfers who will make the cut is crucial for success in daily fantasy golf tournaments.

One strategy that may be profitable in other daily fantasy sports is the “Stars and Scrubs” approach, where you spend a large portion of your salary cap on a few top players and then fill out your lineup with cheaper, lower-scoring options. However, this strategy is generally less successful in DFG, as the points, you lose by having a golfer miss the cut can be massive. For example, while a golfer who finishes in the top 5 may score between 130 and 140 points, a golfer who misses the cut may only score between 40 and 50 points – a difference of 90 points or more.

To illustrate this point, consider the following two lineup examples: the first is the “Stars and Scrubs” example and the second table below is a more well-rounded approach.

Stars and Scrubs Lineup

GolferSalaryFinishFantasy Points
Jon Rahm10,5001150
Colin Morikawa8,5002145
Justin Thomas9,0003141
J.J Spaun6,300Cut
Patrick Cantlay9,00016120
Ryan Brehm6,400Cut

Total salary: $49,800

Total fantasy points: 556

This lineup has 4 “stars” – Jon Rahm, Colin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, and Patrick Cantlay – who take up most of the salary cap, and 2 “scrubs” in J.J Spaun and Ryan Brehm. While Spaun and Brehm may not be considered scrubs in general, they are less consistent in making cuts and are priced accordingly in DFG.

Now, compare this approach to a more balanced lineup:

Balanced Lineup

Golfer SalaryFinishFantasy Points
Scottie Scheffler8,8004138
Jordan Spieth8,20010132
Hideki Matsuyama8,00014125
Tom Kim7,80015122
Viktor Hovland7,40022118
Cameron Young8,10025115

Total salary: $49,800

Total fantasy points: 750

This lineup scored almost 200 points higher than the “Stars and Scrubs” lineup, with a total of 750 points. This is largely due to the well-rounded approach, which focused on 6 very good golfers who all made the cut instead of relying on a few high-priced stars and a couple of scrubs. While there may be a time and place for taking higher-risk picks with a scrub or two, it’s generally a safer bet to focus on players who are likely to make the cut. As always, make sure to do your research and look for any edges, such as golfers who excel at the course being played that week. Above all else, remember: make the cut!

2. Analyze Golfer’s Course History for Maximum Success

When selecting golfers for your daily fantasy lineup, it’s important to consider their past performance at the course being played for the current tournament. Analyzing a golfer’s course history can provide valuable insights into how they are likely to perform and help you make more informed picks for your lineup. Just as in other sports such as baseball where a player may have a favorite stadium to play at or fare particularly well against certain pitchers, golfers tend to have courses they excel or consistently play poorly at.

For example, a golfer who has consistently placed in the top 10 at a specific course over the past few years may be a strong pick for your DFG lineup due to their success on this course. On the other hand, a golfer who has consistently missed the cut at a specific course may not be a good choice for your lineup.

It’s also important to look at more than just past results at a particular course. Consider factors such as the golfer’s current form, their strengths and weaknesses, and the specific demands of the course itself. A golfer with a strong iron game may fare well at a course with small, well-guarded greens, while a golfer known for their long driving distance may excel at a course with wide fairways.

Picking players who have performed well in the past at a particular course can provide you with a strong return on investment. Take Jordan Spieth for example. Spieth is not a long hitter off the tee however he has a very good short game and is one of the best putters on tour. It is no surprise he plays well at Augusta National with its wide-open fairways and glass-like putting surface.

By analyzing a golfer’s course history and taking into account other relevant factors, you can make more informed picks for your DFG lineup and increase your chances of success. As always, do your research and make sure to regularly check for any updates or changes that may impact a golfer’s performance.

3. Avoid Golfers with Recent Injuries

Golfers who have recently been dealing with injuries or ailments can be a risky pick for your daily fantasy lineup. These golfers may not be performing at their best and may also be at risk of withdrawing from the tournament due to their injuries.

I have personally experienced the disappointment of picking a golfer who had to withdraw from a tournament due to an injury. It resulted in only 18 fantasy points for that golfer and left me finishing near the bottom of that tournament despite the other golfers I had picked performing well.

To avoid this risk, it’s important to always check the health status of the golfers you are considering for your lineup. Look for any reports of injuries or ailments that may affect their performance, as well as any recent withdrawals from tournaments. You can also check if they are listed as questionable on your fantasy site.

It’s also worth considering the potential impact of an injury on a golfer’s performance. For example, a hand injury may affect a golfer’s grip and swing, while a back injury could impact their posture and swing mechanics. These factors can lead to a drop in performance and should be taken into account when making your picks.

Here are a few examples of golfers who have been affected by injuries:

  1. Rory McIlroy: In 2019, McIlroy was forced to withdraw from the Players Championship due to a rib injury that had been bothering him for several weeks. He returned to the tour a few weeks later, but his performance was affected by the injury and he struggled to find his form.
  2. Jason Day: Day has struggled with back injuries throughout his career, and has had to withdraw from several tournaments due to these issues. In 2018, he was forced to withdraw from the Arnold Palmer Invitational due to a back injury, and his performance has been inconsistent since.
  3. Phil Mickelson: In 2019, Mickelson withdrew from the U.S. Open due to a wrist injury that he sustained during the practice rounds. This injury significantly impacted his performance for the remainder of the season.

Golf is not a game/sport where you can “grind” your way through injuries as you can in other sports. A football running back may have moderate to even severe pain. The nature of the sport is gross motor control however and they can grit their teeth and grind it out. Golf on the other hand relies on very fine motor control which even minor pain or injuries can have a large impact on. In conclusion, don’t take on any added risk by picking a golfer who is going through an injury.

In conclusion, it’s important to be wary of golfers with recent injuries when making your DFG lineup picks. The risk of them withdrawing or underperforming due to their injury is often not worth the potential reward.

4. Consider Recent Performance when Picking Golfers

Avoid Golfers who are on a cold streak

When selecting golfers for your fantasy league, it’s important to take recent performance into account. Golfers, much like athletes in other sports, can go through hot and cold streaks, and identifying these patterns can give you an edge in your league.

One strategy is to pay close attention to golfers who are currently on a hot streak. For example, let’s say that golfer X has been consistently placing in the top 20 in recent tournaments. This golfer may not be well-known or have a high salary, but they can provide a great return on investment for your fantasy team. On the other hand, you should look to fade golfers who are struggling, even if they are historically strong players like Jon Rahm.

Fantasy golf stats, such as Fantasy Points Per Game (FPPG), can also be misleading. Just because a golfer scored a lot of fantasy points earlier in the year doesn’t mean they are currently playing well. By analyzing recent performance and considering other factors such as course fit, current form, and more, you’ll be able to make more informed decisions and build a more successful fantasy team.

In summary, while analyzing fantasy golf stats is important, it’s also crucial to avoid golfers on a cold streak while identifying hot streaks and under-the-radar golfers who can provide great value. This will give you a better chance of winning your league and enjoying the game.

5. Look at the Vegas Odds

Vegas odds are a powerful tool that can help you make informed decisions when picking golfers for your fantasy league. Sportsbooks spend a lot of time and resources to ensure their odds are as accurate as possible, and as a fantasy player, you can take advantage of that by researching the odds for each golfer in a tournament.

When looking at the odds, pay attention to a golfer’s odds of winning the tournament, making the top 5, and making the top 20. These odds can be a useful indicator of a golfer’s chances of success in the tournament. Additionally, compare the odds with a golfer’s salary to identify any inefficiencies or mismatches. For example, a golfer who has a high probability of making the top 20 but has a relatively low salary may be a great value pick for your fantasy team.

Another strategy to consider is to balance your team with golfers with different ranges of salary, for example, you can consider leaving the highest salary golfer alone and instead opt for those who are around 8k per golfer in the typical 6-golfer line-up. This way you’ll be able to build a lineup of golfers who are favored to be in the top 20 and make the cut, without blowing your whole salary cap on one or two highly favored golfers who might not perform well.

In summary, Vegas odds are a powerful tool that can give you an edge in your fantasy golf league by providing valuable information on golfers’ chances of success. Use them to identify value picks and to balance your team with golfers of different salary ranges, but be sure to consider other factors and use odds in conjunction with other data when making your final decisions.

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Although I am a Doctor of Physical Therapy by profession, I am not your Physical Therapist nor am I a Medical Doctor. All content and information on this website are for informational purposes only, do not constitute medical advice, and do not establish any kind of patient-client relationship by your use of this website. A patient-client relationship with you is only formed after we have expressly entered into a written agreement with you that you have signed including our terms to represent you in a specific manner. Although we strive to provide accurate general information, the information presented here is not a substitute for any kind of professional advice, and you should not rely solely on this information. Always consult a professional in the area for your particular needs and circumstances prior to making any professional, legal, medical and financial, or tax-related decisions.

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